Vote for the two players you think are most likely to do the thing in the question.
If they're really likely, you can give them both votes.
Then, predict how many votes you will get from others, either none, some, or most votes.
You get 3 points if you correctly predict you'll get none or most votes.
You get 1 point if you correctly predict you'll get some votes.
And none if you predicted wrongly...